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Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 10, 2023 at 6am UK
Spotless Stadium
MV

Western Sydney
3 - 4
Victory

Antonsson (57' pen., 88'), Yuel (90+1')
Milanovic (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fornaroli (8', 45+1', 51' pen., 74')
Machach (32')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Sydney
Friday, December 1 at 9.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Victory
Sunday, December 3 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne Victory
43.24% (-0.959 -0.96) 23.32% (-0.123 -0.12) 33.45% (1.085 1.09)
Both teams to score 63.24% (0.902 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.77% (1.001 1)38.23% (-0.998 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.49% (1.057 1.06)60.51% (-1.053 -1.05)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (0.019000000000005 0.02)49.05% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (1.092 1.09)22.77% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (1.589 1.59)56.47% (-1.585 -1.59)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 43.24%
    Melbourne Victory 33.45%
    Draw 23.31%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.05% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 43.24%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.157 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.107 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.11 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.45%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Sydney
Friday, December 1 at 9.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 25 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, November 11 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Western Sydney
Sunday, November 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 5-0 Western Utd
Saturday, October 28 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 0-0 Wellington
Sunday, October 22 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Victory
Sunday, December 3 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Victory
Friday, November 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, November 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 5-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, October 29 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Victory
Saturday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League


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