Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 29, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
FT(HT: 1-1)
Erustes (37')
Cornejo (17'), Beltran (44'), Lojas (75'), Paul Gonzales Aponte (82'), Perleche (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Deportivo Garcilaso.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Deportivo Garcilaso had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Deportivo Garcilaso win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Metropolitanos | Draw | Deportivo Garcilaso |
54.07% ( 0) | 23.92% ( -0.12) | 22% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( 0.5) |
| 50.85% ( 0.59) | 49.15% ( -0.59) |
| 28.78% ( 0.54) | 71.22% ( -0.54) |
| 81.91% ( 0.22) | 18.08% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.38) | 49.01% ( -0.38) |
| Deportivo Garcilaso Goals |
| 63.16% ( 0.44) | 36.84% ( -0.44) |
