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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
N

Metz
0 - 1
Nice

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boudaoui (14')
Thuram (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 3-0 Metz
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Brest
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 0-2 Nice

Nice, who beat Metz 2-0 in their last visit to the Stade Saint-Symphorien in January 2022, will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top this weekend considering the contrasting form of the two teams. The hosts may struggle to breach the best defence in Ligue 1, and although the visitors drew a blank in front of goal last time out, they should have few problems finding the net en route to a routine victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
MetzDrawNice
33.56% (-0.302 -0.3) 26.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 40.07% (0.329 0.33)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94% (0.059000000000005 0.06)52.06% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)73.79% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)29.34% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (-0.203 -0.2)65.31% (0.199 0.2)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (0.202 0.2)25.54% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (0.278 0.28)60.39% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Metz 33.56%
    Nice 40.06%
    Draw 26.37%
MetzDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.56%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 10.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toulouse 3-0 Metz
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Metz
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-2 Reims
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Metz
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-2 Marseille
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Brest
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Nice
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Nice
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Nice
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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