Clermont are struggling defensively at the beginning of this campaign, and the visit of last season's top scorers in Ligue 2 on Sunday may not come at the best time for the hosts.
Even while playing with 10 men for the majority of the second half, Metz were competitive against Marseille and should be good enough for a point this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Metz in this match.
-1.12) 
0.43) 
