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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
N

Metz
0 - 2
Nice


Kana-Biyik (45+1'), Salif Mbengue (55'), Ndiaga Yade (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thuram (58'), Gouiri (86' pen.)
Rosario (64')

We said: Metz 1-3 Nice

Both sides head into Sunday's fixture in high spirits, though the visitors will be the strong favourites to come away with all three points. Metz can take confidence into the game having already beaten Nice this season, but Les Aiglons should have enough quality, particularly in the final third, to secure their fifth league victory in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawNice
23.15%25.28%51.57%
Both teams to score 49.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61%53.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08%74.92%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88%38.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.12%74.88%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29%20.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68%53.32%
Score Analysis
    Metz 23.15%
    Nice 51.56%
    Draw 25.27%
MetzDrawNice
1-0 @ 7.61%
2-1 @ 5.78%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.46%
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.15%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 12.42%
0-2 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-3 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-4 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 51.56%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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