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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
HL

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Hull City

Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
Akpom (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sayyadmanesh (41')
Vaughan (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Norwich
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-0 Hull City

Middlesbrough still have a slim chance of earning a top-two finish after destroying Norwich last time out, and despite injuries, Carrick's men will be confident of beating Hull. The Tigers did very well to earn a point at Ewood Park against Blackburn on Saturday, but we believe they will not be able to achieve back-to-back away results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
63.66% (-0.788 -0.79) 20.24% (0.261 0.26) 16.1% (0.529 0.53)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (-0.16 -0.16)41.94% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (-0.161 -0.16)64.34% (0.163 0.16)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (-0.268 -0.27)12.51% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.47% (-0.564 -0.56)38.52% (0.564 0.56)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (0.575 0.57)39.12% (-0.575 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16% (0.536 0.54)75.83% (-0.536 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 63.65%
    Hull City 16.1%
    Draw 20.24%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.32% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.81% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 63.65%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Norwich
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 4-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 4-0 Preston
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 4-4 Hull City
Friday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-3 Burnley
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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