Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
30.76% ( -0.92) | 24.94% ( 0.09) | 44.3% ( 0.83) |
Both teams to score 56.3% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.17% ( -0.79) | 46.83% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.92% ( -0.75) | 69.08% ( 0.75) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.42% ( -1) | 28.58% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.63% ( -1.27) | 64.37% ( 1.27) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.83% ( 0.04) | 21.17% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.96% ( 0.07) | 54.04% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.3% |
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