Despite losing their defensive acumen in recent matches, Middlesbrough never need any lessons in breaking down the opposition, and an injury-hit Bristol City side should strap in for a rough ride against the vengeful Boro.
The Robins' penchant for goals at Ashton Gate will serve them well, but we still have faith in Carrick's men to get their promotion charge back on track and deal Pearson's side their first Championship home defeat of 2023.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-0.92) 
0.09) 
