With the pressure on Arveladze and his Hull squad to a certain degree, this does not represent a free hit as some may perceive it to be. That said, we still expect Boro to come through with another victory at the Riverside, potentially having to produce a strong closing half-hour to get over the line.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 26.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
