With the pressure on Arveladze and his Hull squad to a certain degree, this does not represent a free hit as some may perceive it to be. That said, we still expect Boro to come through with another victory at the Riverside, potentially having to produce a strong closing half-hour to get over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 26.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Hull City
45.72%	27.56%	26.71%

Both teams to score 45.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.86%

59.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.42%

79.58%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16%

25.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.19%

60.81%

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88%

38.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12%

74.88%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 45.72%

Hull City 26.71%

Draw 27.56%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Hull City
1-0 @ 13.33% 2-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 8.7% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.72%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.71%