Given the inconsistency of both teams, this is a difficult match to call, particularly with the increasing pressure for different reasons. Nevertheless, we have to give the edge to Boro, who will have regained some belief through battling back in their previous fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
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