SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Sunderland |
32.94% ( 0.14) | 24.77% ( -0.11) | 42.28% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0.55) | 45.28% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( 0.52) | 67.62% ( -0.52) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( 0.35) | 26.42% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% ( 0.46) | 61.59% ( -0.46) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( 0.22) | 21.45% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( 0.34) | 54.46% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.95% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.28% |
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