SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Middlesbrough |
33.31% ( -0.09) | 24.66% ( -0.01) | 42.03% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( 0.01) | 44.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( 0.01) | 67.05% ( -0.01) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% ( -0.05) | 25.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.08% ( -0.07) | 60.91% ( 0.07) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( 0.05) | 21.32% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.73% ( 0.08) | 54.27% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.31% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.03% |
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