Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
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