Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Miramar Misiones has a probability of 28.9% and a draw has a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win is 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.76%).
-0.11) 
0.24) 
