SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Montevideo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro Largo |
44.22% ( -0.11) | 28.84% ( 0.01) | 26.94% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.72% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.78% ( 0.02) | 63.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.38% ( 0.02) | 82.62% ( -0.02) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.05) | 28.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( -0.06) | 64.32% ( 0.06) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.79% ( 0.11) | 40.21% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.15% ( 0.1) | 76.84% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 44.21% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 26.93% |
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