SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 43.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro Largo |
43.82% ( -1.34) | 28.55% ( 0.38) | 27.62% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 43.86% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.99% ( -0.79) | 62.01% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.26% ( -0.59) | 81.74% ( 0.59) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -1.08) | 28.17% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( -1.39) | 63.86% ( 1.39) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.05% ( 0.38) | 38.95% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.33% ( 0.35) | 75.67% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.28)2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.65% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 27.62% |
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