SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Cerro |
39% ( 0.07) | 28.38% ( 0) | 32.61% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.3% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.07% ( -0.01) | 59.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.81% ( -0.01) | 80.18% ( 0.01) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( 0.04) | 29.87% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( 0.05) | 65.96% ( -0.05) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( -0.06) | 33.98% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.34% ( -0.06) | 70.66% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.61% |
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