SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Miramar Misiones in this match.
| Result | ||
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Cerro |
40.16% ( -0.44) | 28.73% ( -0.13) | 31.11% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 44.94% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.57% ( 0.58) | 61.42% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.69% ( 0.43) | 81.31% ( -0.43) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( 0.03) | 29.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( 0.04) | 66.03% ( -0.04) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.74) | 35.87% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.35% ( 0.75) | 72.65% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 11% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)Other @ 2% Total : 31.1% |
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