Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Danubio
29.91% ( 0)	29.12% ( -0)	40.97% ( -0)

Both teams to score 43.49% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.99% (

-0)

63.01% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.53% (

-0)

82.47% (

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.35% (

-0)

37.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.57% (

-0)

74.43% (

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

-0)

30.24% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

-0)

66.41% (

Score Analysis

Cerro 29.9%

Danubio 40.97%

Draw 29.11%

Cerro	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.71% Total : 29.9%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.11%	0-1 @ 13.61% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-3 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.38% Total : 40.97%