SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro |
39.86% ( -0.25) | 27.91% ( -0.13) | 32.23% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% ( 0.55) | 58.32% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% ( 0.43) | 78.94% ( -0.43) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0.12) | 28.58% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( 0.15) | 64.38% ( -0.15) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( 0.56) | 33.41% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( 0.61) | 70.04% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.23% |
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