Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.