Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 17, 2024 at 4am UK
Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Monterrey | Draw | Cruz Azul |
40.28% ( -0.8) | 25.62% ( 0.22) | 34.1% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( -0.59) |
| 51.22% ( -0.82) | 48.78% ( 0.83) |
| 29.11% ( -0.75) | 70.89% ( 0.76) |
| 76.05% ( -0.77) | 23.95% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.82% ( -1.11) | 58.18% ( 1.12) |
| 72.6% ( -0.04) | 27.4% ( 0.04) |
