Monterrey ended their losing streak against Cruz Azul in May and have maintained consistency since for the last couple of seasons. Although they have lost their last two home games to Cruz Azul, Monterrey currently seem to be playing at a higher level than their visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Cruz Azul
45.68% ( 0.48)	25.56% ( -0.09)	28.76% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 53.12% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.55% (

0.15)

50.45% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.62% (

0.13)

72.38% (

-0.13)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

0.28)

22.07% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

0.42)

55.41% (

-0.43)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.16% (

-0.21)

31.83% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73% (

-0.24)

68.27% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 45.67%

Cruz Azul 28.76%

Draw 25.56%

Monterrey	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.67%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.76%