Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 8, 2024 at 2.06am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
We said: Pachuca 2-1 Monterrey
Both sides boast similar levels of quality throughout their squad and are hit by several enforced absences heading into the curtain-raiser, and we anticipate a tight contest with both desperate to kick off with a victory.
Having been in competitive action more recently in a triumphant CONCACAF Champions Cup final, we give a slight edge to Pachuca and back them to scrape all three points with home advantage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Pachuca | Draw | Monterrey |
38.59% ( -1.67) | 25.94% ( 0.54) | 35.47% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -1.67) |
| 50.03% ( -2.23) | 49.97% ( 2.23) |
| 28.04% ( -2.02) | 71.95% ( 2.02) |
| 74.62% ( -1.88) | 25.38% ( 1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.82% ( -2.65) | 60.18% ( 2.65) |
| 72.85% ( -0.39) | 27.15% ( 0.39) |
