Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
27.74% ( -0.28) | 25.68% ( -0.06) | 46.58% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 52.06% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.49% ( 0.09) | 51.51% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% ( 0.08) | 73.31% ( -0.08) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.83% ( -0.17) | 33.17% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.23% ( -0.19) | 69.77% ( 0.19) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( 0.19) | 22.1% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.54% ( 0.29) | 55.46% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.74% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.58% |
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