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M
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
N

Montpellier
1 - 4
Nice

Sagnan (75')
Savanier (34'), Lecomte (61')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ndayishimiye (29'), Louchet (37'), Cho (39'), Claude-Maurice (62' pen.)
Claude-Maurice (34'), Rosario (46'), Balde (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nice
Sunday, February 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Nice

Despite the gap in the league standings between these sides, Montpellier have fared well on their home patch this season and head into this match unbeaten in their last four on home soil. In contrast, Nice have struggled to find wins on the road of late and failed to score in three of their last four away league matches. We are expecting a tight and tactical match here and feel that we may need penalties to find the winner in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawNice
27.74% (-0.28 -0.28) 25.68% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 46.58% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
Both teams to score 52.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (0.088999999999999 0.09)51.51% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (0.075999999999997 0.08)73.31% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)33.17% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (-0.186 -0.19)69.77% (0.18700000000001 0.19)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.194 0.19)22.1% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.289 0.29)55.46% (-0.29 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 27.74%
    Nice 46.58%
    Draw 25.67%
Montpellier HSCDrawNice
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.74%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 46.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lille
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 0-4 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Amiens 1-2 Montpellier
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Marseille
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nice
Sunday, February 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Metz
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 2-3 Nice
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Auxerre (4-2 pen.)
Saturday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Lens
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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