SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
| 37.9% | 26.24% | 35.85% |
| Both teams to score 53.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% | 51.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% | 73.08% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% | 26.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.51% | 61.48% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% | 27.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.96% | 63.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.9% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.85% |
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