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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
L

Montpellier
0 - 0
Lille


Jullien (26'), Savanier (61'), Khazri (62'), Coulibaly (63')
FT

Fonseca (31'), Bouaddi (37'), Santos (66')
Bouaddi (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 0-4 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Racing Colombes 92 0-1 Lille
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Lille

Montpellier have endured a mixed start to 2024, but we believe that Sunday's hosts are very capable of securing a result against Lille in this one. Les Dogues are unbeaten so far in the new calendar year, and we feel that run will continue at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLille
21.72% (-0.029 -0.03) 23.97% (-0.012 -0.01) 54.3% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (0.014999999999993 0.01)49.65% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.66% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)37.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.82% (-0.02 -0.02)74.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)18.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (0.036999999999999 0.04)49.18% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 21.72%
    Lille 54.3%
    Draw 23.97%
Montpellier HSCDrawLille
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.61% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 54.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 0-4 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Amiens 1-2 Montpellier
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Marseille
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Racing Colombes 92 0-1 Lille
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lille 3-0 Lorient
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 12-0 Golden Lion
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 PSG
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-0 KI
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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