Nice have been out of sorts recently, and they have a very poor record at home, picking up just nine points in their opening eight matches at the Allianz Riviera.
Montpellier have also struggled, but they managed to win their last away match in Ligue 1, so we think that they could make it two on the spin on Wednesday in a closely-contested game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
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