SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | Panama |
12.52% ( -0.35) | 18.63% ( -0.59) | 68.85% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( 1.83) | 42.44% ( -1.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.15% ( 1.8) | 64.85% ( -1.8) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.46% ( 0.61) | 44.53% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.44% ( 0.48) | 80.56% ( -0.48) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.76% ( 0.78) | 11.24% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.19% ( 1.68) | 35.81% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montserrat | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.23% Total : 12.52% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.63% | 0-2 @ 11.95% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.55)1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.71% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 7.05% ( 0.21)0-4 @ 4.76% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 3.85% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.13)0-5 @ 2.08% ( 0.15)1-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.74% Total : 68.84% |
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