SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Montserrat |
45.37% ( 0.01) | 24.8% ( 0.01) | 29.82% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( -0.04) | 46.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( -0.04) | 68.95% ( 0.05) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( -0.01) | 20.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.79% ( -0.03) | 53.21% ( 0.03) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( -0.03) | 29.14% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.92% ( -0.04) | 65.08% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Montserrat |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.37% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.83% |
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