SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montserrat would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | Barbados |
50.05% ( -0.06) | 20.85% ( 0.18) | 29.11% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 70.23% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.84% ( -0.96) | 28.16% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.06% ( -1.2) | 48.94% ( 1.21) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.07% ( -0.36) | 11.93% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.71% ( -0.77) | 37.29% ( 0.77) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.55) | 20.26% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% ( -0.89) | 52.61% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montserrat | Draw | Barbados |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.85% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.85% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.11% |
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