Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Chesterfield |
23.77% (![]() | 23.47% | 52.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.64% (![]() | 45.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.31% | 67.69% (![]() |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% (![]() | 33.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.29% (![]() | 69.71% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.83% (![]() | 17.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.58% (![]() | 47.42% |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 6.28% 2-1 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.47% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.77% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 5.68% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.73% 0-3 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.52% 0-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.87% Total : 52.75% |
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