Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
-0) 
0) 
