Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
46.18% (![]() | 23.52% (![]() | 30.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.43% (![]() | 40.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.04% (![]() | 62.95% (![]() |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% (![]() | 17.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% (![]() | 48.61% (![]() |
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% (![]() | 25.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% (![]() | 60.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.26% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 3.78% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 10.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.29% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.3% |
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