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League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
NC

Morecambe
1 - 1
Notts County

Angol (2')
Tollitt (24'), Harrack (78'), Lewis (90+5')
Harrack (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Platt (79')
Macarai (69')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Morecambe
Monday, September 23 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Notts County
Tuesday, September 24 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawNotts County
34.3% (-0.259 -0.26) 23.94% (0.023 0.02) 41.76% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 61.21% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (-0.17 -0.17)41.01% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (-0.173 -0.17)63.4% (0.177 0.18)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)23.6% (0.225 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (-0.325 -0.32)57.68% (0.329 0.33)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04)19.88% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (0.055999999999997 0.06)52% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 34.3%
    Notts County 41.76%
    Draw 23.93%
MorecambeDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.3%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.12% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 41.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Morecambe
Monday, September 23 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 3-3 Colchester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Newport
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Notts County
Tuesday, September 24 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 2-4 Notts County
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 4-1 Grimsby Town
Thursday, August 22 at 8pm in League Two


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