SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Notts County |
34.3% ( -0.26) | 23.94% ( 0.02) | 41.76% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% ( -0.17) | 41.01% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% ( -0.17) | 63.4% ( 0.18) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( -0.22) | 23.6% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( -0.32) | 57.68% ( 0.33) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( 0.04) | 19.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48% ( 0.06) | 52% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.76% |
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