Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
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