Buoyed by their win over Accrington, Morecambe will head into Monday's game with renewed confidence as they look to return into the playoff places. However, Barrow have hit their stride at the business end of the season and we see them coming away with a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.03) 
