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League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
M

Accrington
1 - 2
Morecambe

Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Morecambe

Both sides are heading into this game off the back of a really disappointing run of results in the league, and we expect the two teams to fail in their search for victory in this one. Three of the past five meetings between these two sides have ended in a share of the spoils, and we expect this to become the fourth draw in six matches between the two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
44.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 24.16% (0.096 0.1) 30.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.02% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-0.445 -0.45)43.29% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (-0.439 -0.44)65.69% (0.438 0.44)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.214 -0.21)19.43% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (-0.352 -0.35)51.26% (0.351 0.35)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.229 -0.23)26.75% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (-0.301 -0.3)62.03% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 44.97%
    Morecambe 30.87%
    Draw 24.15%
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Accrington
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two


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