SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 83.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 4.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.3%) and 1-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Central African Republic |
83.57% ( 0.44) | 11.72% ( -0.19) | 4.71% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 37.07% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.32% ( -0.38) | 37.68% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.08% ( -0.41) | 59.92% ( 0.41) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.34% ( 0.01) | 6.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.29% ( 0.03) | 24.7% ( -0.04) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.71% ( -1.22) | 60.28% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.2% ( -0.63) | 90.79% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Central African Republic |
| 2-0 @ 14.73% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.27)1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 83.55% | 1-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.31% Total : 11.72% | 0-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.29% Total : 4.71% |
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