SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 80.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 4.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.14%) and 3-0 (13.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.14%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Lesotho |
80.57% ( -0.65) | 14.66% ( 0.49) | 4.77% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 28.17% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% ( -1.26) | 50.84% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( -1.12) | 72.72% ( 1.12) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.59% ( -0.49) | 10.41% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.05% ( -1.13) | 33.96% ( 1.13) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 31.44% ( -0.15) | 68.56% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 5.56% ( -0.06) | 94.44% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Lesotho |
| 2-0 @ 18.26% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 16.14% ( 0.47)3-0 @ 13.77% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 80.55% | 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.35) 1-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 14.66% | 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 4.77% |
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