SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
44.02% ( 0.19) | 24.25% ( -0.01) | 31.73% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.68% ( -0) | 43.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.28% ( -0) | 65.72% ( 0.01) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% ( 0.08) | 19.85% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.05% ( 0.13) | 51.94% ( -0.12) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( -0.1) | 26.22% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( -0.14) | 61.33% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.73% |
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