Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Motor Lublin in this match.
Result | ||
Motor Lublin | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
43.79% ( 0.09) | 26.33% ( -0.03) | 29.88% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.35% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.94% ( 0.08) | 53.06% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.36% ( 0.07) | 74.65% ( -0.07) |
Motor Lublin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.92% ( 0.08) | 24.09% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.63% ( 0.11) | 58.37% ( -0.11) |
Gornik Zabrze Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% | 32.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.13% ( 0) | 68.88% |
Score Analysis |
Motor Lublin | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.88% |
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