SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for MTK had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Varda SE |
34.06% ( 0.14) | 24.75% ( 0.01) | 41.18% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% ( -0.03) | 44.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% ( -0.03) | 67.25% ( 0.03) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( 0.07) | 25.57% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.57% ( 0.09) | 60.43% ( -0.09) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0.09) | 21.8% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% ( -0.13) | 55.01% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Varda SE |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.06% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.18% |
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