SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
46.63% ( -0.02) | 27.51% ( -0) | 25.86% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.56% ( 0.02) | 59.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.19% ( 0.02) | 79.8% ( -0.02) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( -0) | 25.53% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% ( -0) | 60.38% ( -0) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.97% ( 0.03) | 39.02% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.25% ( 0.03) | 75.74% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.74% 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 25.86% |
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