Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 28, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
FT(HT: 0-0)
Covea (25'), Silva (36'), Bravo (88')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Nacional and Academia Puerto Cabello.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result |
| Nacional | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
46.63% ( -0.02) | 27.51% ( -0) | 25.86% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.02) |
| 40.56% ( 0.02) | 59.43% ( -0.02) |
| 20.19% ( 0.02) | 79.8% ( -0.02) |
| 74.47% ( -0) | 25.53% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.61% ( -0) | 60.38% ( -0) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| 60.97% ( 0.03) | 39.02% ( -0.03) |
