SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academia Puerto Cabello win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Academia Puerto Cabello win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
34.81% ( 0.01) | 28.73% ( 0) | 36.46% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.62% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.09% ( -0.01) | 60.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.07% ( -0) | 80.93% ( 0.01) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( 0) | 32.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( 0) | 69.58% ( 0) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.08% ( -0.01) | 31.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.63% ( -0.01) | 68.37% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.8% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 12.02% 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.45% |
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