Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.05) 
