SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
55.14% ( 0.15) | 24.66% ( 0.05) | 20.2% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.94% ( -0.45) | 54.06% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.51% ( -0.38) | 75.49% ( 0.38) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( -0.11) | 19.54% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.56% ( -0.19) | 51.44% ( 0.19) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.51% ( -0.48) | 41.49% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.01% ( -0.43) | 77.99% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.13% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.2% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
