SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
40.61% ( -0.83) | 26.83% ( 0.31) | 32.55% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 50.87% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% ( -1.11) | 54.17% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% ( -0.94) | 75.58% ( 0.94) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.94) | 26.21% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( -1.29) | 61.31% ( 1.29) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( -0.21) | 31.06% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( -0.25) | 67.37% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 3% Total : 32.55% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
