SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Naftan win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
28.78% ( -0.11) | 26.88% ( -0.32) | 44.34% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% ( 1.14) | 55.68% ( -1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( 0.92) | 76.83% ( -0.91) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( 0.52) | 34.57% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.71% ( 0.55) | 71.29% ( -0.54) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( 0.74) | 24.97% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.38% ( 1.01) | 59.62% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.78% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.33% |
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