Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 36.96%. A draw had a probability of 33.5% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 29.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (6.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.64%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (14.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Namibia would win this match.