SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Frosinone |
70.15% ( 0.02) | 17.05% ( -0.02) | 12.8% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.9% ( 0.13) | 34.1% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.03% ( 0.14) | 55.97% ( -0.13) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.31% ( 0.04) | 8.69% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.07% ( 0.09) | 29.92% ( -0.09) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.36% ( 0.09) | 38.64% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.62% ( 0.09) | 75.38% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Frosinone |
| 2-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 70.14% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.05% | 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 12.8% |
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