SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
33.43% ( 0.05) | 25.45% ( 0.02) | 41.13% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( -0.06) | 48.16% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( -0.06) | 70.32% ( 0.06) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( 0) | 27.52% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( 0) | 63.02% ( -0) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( -0.07) | 23.25% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( -0.09) | 57.16% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.43% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.13% |
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